Analyzing the Top Four Fantasy Football Picks

Adrian Peterson gave the Sophomore Slump a vicious stiff arm as he won the NFL Rushing Title in 2008. He ran for 1760 yards on 363 carries (4.8) with 10 TDs. He added 21 receptions for 125 yards. He topped 100 yards ten times and was held under 76 yards just once. Talk about steady production. Despite having two monster games as a Rookie (224 & 296) he topped 75 yards just seven times. His consistency improved dramatically. What I like about AP is how he holds himself accountable. He really takes his “shortcomings” seriously and works hard to improve. I fully expect him to be an even more complete back in 2009, which should be scary for opposing Defenses.

The Vikings face Cincinnati, Carolina, and Chicago in the fantasy playoffs. Cincy has a much-improved Defense (on paper), but he should still be able to have his way with them. Carolina could prove to be tough. Chicago isn’t the same Defense as it’s been in the past, but they should present a challenge, especially at home. AP should get off to a fast start facing Cleveland and Detroit in Weeks 1 & 2 and St. Louis in Week 5. He should dominate Detroit in Week 10 and Arizona in Week 13.

AP will go 1 or 2 in most leagues. Standard scoring he’ll probably be #1 while PPR leagues could push him to #2. I think he’s even better in 2009 rushing for 1800 yards and 14 TDs.

Michael Turner
Michael Turner more than proved he was capable of stepping out of LT’s shadow to be a feature back. Early in the season he was inconsistent. He would dominate bad เข้าสู่ระบบเว็บตรง ufabet Defenses [Detroit, KC, GB (injuries), Oakland, Denver] and get bottled up by good ones [TB, Carolina, Chicago, Philly]. Something happened in Week 12 though as he destroyed Carolina for 117 yards and 4 TDs. He became a machine putting up solid games against everyone he faced, including TB and a tough Minnesota run D. He had 100+ yards and/or a TD in his last nine games.

There is some cause for concern though despite the monster numbers (1699 yards, 17 TDs). He had 376 carries last year. That is a lot for a back even if he didn’t have much mileage prior to the season. Historically, RBs with such a huge workload see a dip in production the following year. I’m already calling for his TDs to reduce because of the addition of Tony Gonzalez, who is great inside the 20. He’ll face a tougher schedule this year with games against Miami, New England, Dallas, Washington, NY Giants, Philadelphia, and the Jets, along with two games against Carolina and Tampa Bay. His fantasy playoffs schedule consists of matchups with New Orleans, the Jets, and Buffalo, which isn’t terrible. Despite the likely dip in production I still think Turner will be a top 3-4 back. I’m expecting 1700 total yards and 13 TDs.